Premier League19 Apr, 13:00
Prediction Everton — LiverpoolSunday, 19 April 2026 at 13:00
Everton
Home
VS
Pending
Liverpool
Away
Our Prediction
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
over under
Odds
1.84
best odds
High
Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)
Everton
31%
Draw
28%
Liverpool
42%
Over 2.5 goals
1.96
51% implied
Under 2.5 goals
1.98
51% implied
∑Poisson Model
🎯 VALUE BET +11.3%Everton
1.51
expected goals (λ)
Expected total
3.39
goals/match
Liverpool
1.87
expected goals (λ)
Probability comparison
Everton
Poisson
31%
Bookmaker
31%
Draw-6% unfavourable
Poisson
22%
Bookmaker
28%
Liverpool+4% edge
Poisson
46%
Bookmaker
42%
Most probable scores
1–1
9.6%
1–2
9.0%
2–1
7.2%
2–2
6.8%
0–1
6.3%
0–2
5.9%
Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.
Expert Analysis
The model predicts a 65.7% chance of over 2.5 goals, significantly higher than the bookmaker's implied 54.3%, indicating strong value. The match is expected to be high-scoring with both teams likely to score.
Other predictions for this match
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Match information
CompetitionPremier League
Date19 Apr, 13:00
Analysis published13 Apr 2026
Odds sourcethe-odds-api
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