Premier League25 Apr, 14:00
Prediction West Ham United — EvertonSaturday, 25 April 2026 at 14:00
West Ham United
Home
17th in table
VS
Pending
Everton
Away
10th in table
Our Prediction
✈️
Away Win
match result
Odds
2.60
best odds
Low
Comparative Statistics
17th
Ranking
10th
1.3g/m
Avg attack
1.2g/m
1.8ag/m
Avg defence
1.2ag/m
Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)
West Ham United
38%
Draw
28%
Everton
34%
Over 2.5 goals
1.81
55% implied
Under 2.5 goals
1.89
53% implied
∑Poisson Model
🎯 VALUE BET +5.6%West Ham United
1.28
expected goals (λ)
Expected total
2.85
goals/match
Everton
1.57
expected goals (λ)
Probability comparison
West Ham United-7% unfavourable
Poisson
31%
Bookmaker
38%
Draw
Poisson
25%
Bookmaker
28%
Everton+10% edge
Poisson
44%
Bookmaker
34%
Most probable scores
1–1
11.6%
1–2
9.1%
0–1
9.0%
2–1
7.5%
1–0
7.4%
0–2
7.1%
Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.
Expert Analysis
West Ham struggles defensively, while Everton is mid-table with better defensive stats. The Poisson model favors Everton's win at 44%, above the bookmakers' 38.5%, indicating value. I back Everton to win at 2.60 due to this clear edge.
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Match information
CompetitionPremier League
Date25 Apr, 14:00
Analysis published18 Apr 2026
Odds sourcethe-odds-api
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