LaLiga24 Apr, 19:00
Prediction Real Betis — Real MadridFriday, 24 April 2026 at 19:00
Real Betis
Home
VS
Pending
Real Madrid
Away
Our Prediction
✈️
Away Win
match result
Odds
1.84
best odds
Moderate
Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)
Real Betis
27%
Draw
22%
Real Madrid
51%
Over 2.5 goals
1.82
55% implied
Under 2.5 goals
2.02
50% implied
∑Poisson Model
Real Betis
1.37
expected goals (λ)
Expected total
3.16
goals/match
Real Madrid
1.79
expected goals (λ)
Probability comparison
Real Betis
Poisson
29%
Bookmaker
27%
Draw
Poisson
23%
Bookmaker
22%
Real Madrid
Poisson
48%
Bookmaker
51%
Most probable scores
1–1
10.4%
1–2
9.3%
0–1
7.6%
2–1
7.1%
0–2
6.8%
2–2
6.4%
Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.
Expert Analysis
Real Madrid is favored with a 47.6% chance to win according to the Poisson model, reflecting their strong form and offensive edge. Betting on Madrid's victory offers good value given the statistical advantage and match context.
Other predictions for this match
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Match information
CompetitionLaLiga
Date24 Apr, 19:00
Analysis published17 Apr 2026
Odds sourcethe-odds-api
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