2 May, 16:30
Prediction Alavés — Athletic BilbaoSaturday, 2 May 2026 at 16:30

Alavés
Home
16th in table
VS
Pending
AB
Athletic Bilbao
Away
Our Prediction
✈️
Away Win
match result
Odds
2.64
best odds
High
Comparative Statistics
16th
Ranking
—
1.2g/m
Avg attack
—g/m
1.5ag/m
Avg defence
—ag/m
Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)
Alavés
35%
Draw
28%
Athletic Bilbao
37%
Over 2.5 goals
2.05
49% implied
Under 2.5 goals
1.85
54% implied
Expert Analysis
The tactical contrast shows Alavés struggling defensively while Athletic Bilbao is more stable and offensively efficient, creating a clear advantage for the visitors. Bookmakers slightly favor Athletic with a 37% chance versus 35% for Alavés, making the 2.64 odds on Bilbao a value bet given Alavés' defensive vulnerabilities. I back an Athletic win at 2.64 because Bilbao’s solidity should exploit Alavés’ weaknesses, with risk lying in a potential defensive resilience from Alavés.
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Match information
CompetitionLaLiga
Date2 May, 16:30
Analysis published1 May 2026
Odds sourcethe-odds-api
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