🏆 FIFA World Cup 2026 · USA · Canada · Mexico

World Cup 2026 Predictions

Poisson model analysis, compared odds and expert picks for all 48 matches of the group stage. June 11 – July 3, 2026.

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48
Matches
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Poisson
Model
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48
Nations

All matches by group

Other competitions

Our World Cup 2026 prediction methodology

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is the first edition with 48 teams, hosted across the United States, Canada and Mexico from June 11 to July 19. Our Poisson model calibrates the offensive and defensive strength of each team from FIFA rankings and qualification data.

For each match, we calculate probabilities for home win, draw and away win, as well as goals markets (over/under 2.5, BTTS). Picks are published with a confidence level from 1 to 5 stars.