🏆 FIFA World Cup 2026 · USA · Canada · Mexico
World Cup 2026 Predictions
Poisson model analysis, compared odds and expert picks for all 48 matches of the group stage. June 11 – July 3, 2026.
🎯
48
Matches
📊
Poisson
Model
🌍
48
Nations
All matches by group
Thu 11 Jun · 21h00Mexico
Mexico
#14
VS
South Africa
#36
53%24%23%
Pick:Mexico★
View →Fri 12 Jun · 04h00Guadalajara
South Korea
#22
VS
Czech Republic
#36
45%25%30%
Pick:South Korea
View →Thu 18 Jun · 18h00Monterrey
Czech Republic
#36
VS
South Africa
#36
37%26%37%
Pick:South Africa
View →Fri 19 Jun · 03h00Mexico
Mexico
#14
VS
South Korea
#22
45%25%30%
Pick:Mexico
View →Thu 25 Jun · 03h00Guadalajara
Czech Republic
#36
VS
Mexico
#14
23%24%53%
Pick:Mexico★
View →Thu 25 Jun · 03h00Monterrey
South Africa
#36
VS
South Korea
#22
30%25%45%
Pick:South Korea
View →Fri 12 Jun · 21h00Toronto
Canada
#29
VS
Bosnia
#55
40%26%34%
Pick:Canada
View →Sat 13 Jun · 21h00Vancouver
Qatar
#57
VS
Switzerland
#16
25%24%51%
Pick:Switzerland★
View →Thu 18 Jun · 21h00Vancouver
Switzerland
#16
VS
Bosnia
#55
51%24%25%
Pick:Switzerland★
View →Fri 19 Jun · 00h00Toronto
Canada
#29
VS
Qatar
#57
40%26%34%
Pick:Canada
View →Wed 24 Jun · 21h00Vancouver
Switzerland
#16
VS
Canada
#29
47%25%28%
Pick:Switzerland
View →Wed 24 Jun · 21h00Toronto
Bosnia
#55
VS
Qatar
#57
37%26%37%
Pick:Qatar
View →Sun 14 Jun · 00h00New York
Brazil
#5
VS
Morocco
#11
51%24%25%
Pick:Brazil★
View →Sun 14 Jun · 03h00Dallas
Haiti
#83
VS
Scotland
#39
37%26%37%
Pick:Scotland
View →Sat 20 Jun · 00h00Houston
Scotland
#39
VS
Morocco
#11
20%23%57%
Pick:Morocco★
View →Sat 20 Jun · 03h00Los Angeles
Brazil
#5
VS
Haiti
#83
71%18%12%
Pick:Brazil★
View →Thu 25 Jun · 00h00New York
Scotland
#39
VS
Brazil
#5
12%18%71%
Pick:Brazil★
View →Thu 25 Jun · 00h00Dallas
Morocco
#11
VS
Haiti
#83
57%23%20%
Pick:Morocco★
View →Sat 13 Jun · 03h00Dallas
USA
#13
VS
Paraguay
#64
55%23%22%
Pick:USA★
View →Sun 14 Jun · 06h00Atlanta
Australia
#23
VS
Turkey
#27
40%26%34%
Pick:Australia
View →Fri 19 Jun · 21h00Philadelphie
USA
#13
VS
Australia
#23
47%25%28%
Pick:USA
View →Sat 20 Jun · 06h00Las Vegas
Turkey
#27
VS
Paraguay
#64
42%26%33%
Pick:Turkey
View →Fri 26 Jun · 04h00Houston
Turkey
#27
VS
USA
#13
26%25%50%
Pick:USA
View →Fri 26 Jun · 04h00Miami
Paraguay
#64
VS
Australia
#23
30%25%44%
Pick:Australia
View →Sun 14 Jun · 19h00Los Angeles
Germany
#8
VS
Curacao
#89
63%21%16%
Pick:Germany★
View →Mon 15 Jun · 01h00Kansas City
Ivory Coast
#30
VS
Ecuador
#20
31%25%44%
Pick:Ecuador
View →Sat 20 Jun · 22h00Dallas
Germany
#8
VS
Ivory Coast
#30
60%22%18%
Pick:Germany★
View →Sun 21 Jun · 02h00San Francisco
Ecuador
#20
VS
Curacao
#89
47%25%28%
Pick:Ecuador
View →Thu 25 Jun · 22h00Kansas City
Ecuador
#20
VS
Germany
#8
23%24%53%
Pick:Germany★
View →Thu 25 Jun · 22h00Los Angeles
Curacao
#89
VS
Ivory Coast
#30
35%26%40%
Pick:Ivory Coast
View →Sun 14 Jun · 22h00Boston
Netherlands
#7
VS
Japan
#17
53%24%24%
Pick:Netherlands★
View →Mon 15 Jun · 04h00Philadelphie
Sweden
#24
VS
Tunisia
#28
40%26%35%
Pick:Sweden
View →Sat 20 Jun · 19h00Atlanta
Netherlands
#7
VS
Sweden
#24
59%22%19%
Pick:Netherlands★
View →Sun 21 Jun · 06h00Miami
Tunisia
#28
VS
Japan
#17
29%25%46%
Pick:Japan
View →Fri 26 Jun · 01h00San Francisco
Japan
#17
VS
Sweden
#24
43%26%32%
Pick:Japan
View →Fri 26 Jun · 01h00Boston
Tunisia
#28
VS
Netherlands
#7
17%21%62%
Pick:Netherlands★
View →Mon 15 Jun · 21h00New York
Belgium
#9
VS
Egypt
#35
61%22%18%
Pick:Belgium★
View →Tue 16 Jun · 03h00Las Vegas
Iran
#22
VS
New Zealand
#87
45%25%30%
Pick:Iran
View →Sun 21 Jun · 21h00Miami
Belgium
#9
VS
Iran
#22
53%24%23%
Pick:Belgium★
View →Mon 22 Jun · 03h00Kansas City
New Zealand
#87
VS
Egypt
#35
37%26%37%
Pick:Egypt
View →Sat 27 Jun · 05h00Dallas
Egypt
#35
VS
Iran
#22
30%25%45%
Pick:Iran
View →Sat 27 Jun · 05h00Houston
New Zealand
#87
VS
Belgium
#9
18%22%61%
Pick:Belgium★
View →Mon 15 Jun · 18h00Los Angeles
Spain
#3
VS
Cape Verde
#76
78%14%8%
Pick:Spain★
View →Tue 16 Jun · 00h00Atlanta
Saudi Arabia
#39
VS
Uruguay
#10
19%22%59%
Pick:Uruguay★
View →Sun 21 Jun · 18h00Seattle
Spain
#3
VS
Saudi Arabia
#39
78%14%8%
Pick:Spain★
View →Mon 22 Jun · 00h00Philadelphie
Uruguay
#10
VS
Cape Verde
#76
59%22%19%
Pick:Uruguay★
View →Sat 27 Jun · 02h00Boston
Cape Verde
#76
VS
Saudi Arabia
#39
37%26%37%
Pick:Saudi Arabia
View →Sat 27 Jun · 02h00New York
Uruguay
#10
VS
Spain
#3
19%22%58%
Pick:Spain★
View →Tue 16 Jun · 21h00New York
France
#2
VS
Senegal
#19
76%16%9%
Pick:France★
View →Wed 17 Jun · 00h00Seattle
Iraq
#47
VS
Norway
#23
30%25%44%
Pick:Norway
View →Mon 22 Jun · 23h00Las Vegas
France
#2
VS
Iraq
#47
84%11%5%
Pick:France★
View →Tue 23 Jun · 02h00Seattle
Norway
#23
VS
Senegal
#19
34%26%40%
Pick:Senegal
View →Fri 26 Jun · 21h00Seattle
Norway
#23
VS
France
#2
8%14%78%
Pick:France★
View →Fri 26 Jun · 21h00New York
Senegal
#19
VS
Iraq
#47
48%25%27%
Pick:Senegal
View →Wed 17 Jun · 03h00Dallas
Argentina
#1
VS
Algeria
#30
89%8%3%
Pick:Argentina★
View →Wed 17 Jun · 06h00Los Angeles
Austria
#25
VS
Jordan
#68
43%26%32%
Pick:Austria
View →Mon 22 Jun · 19h00New York
Argentina
#1
VS
Austria
#25
87%9%4%
Pick:Argentina★
View →Tue 23 Jun · 05h00San Francisco
Jordan
#68
VS
Algeria
#30
35%26%40%
Pick:Algeria
View →Sun 28 Jun · 04h00Dallas
Algeria
#30
VS
Austria
#25
34%26%40%
Pick:Austria
View →Sun 28 Jun · 04h00Los Angeles
Jordan
#68
VS
Argentina
#1
3%7%91%
Pick:Argentina★
View →Wed 17 Jun · 19h00Philadelphie
Portugal
#6
VS
DR Congo
#60
68%19%13%
Pick:Portugal★
View →Thu 18 Jun · 04h00Boston
Uzbekistan
#48
VS
Colombia
#15
24%24%52%
Pick:Colombia★
View →Tue 23 Jun · 19h00Atlanta
Portugal
#6
VS
Uzbekistan
#48
68%19%13%
Pick:Portugal★
View →Wed 24 Jun · 04h00Kansas City
Colombia
#15
VS
DR Congo
#60
52%24%24%
Pick:Colombia★
View →Sun 28 Jun · 01h30Miami
Colombia
#15
VS
Portugal
#6
23%24%53%
Pick:Portugal★
View →Sun 28 Jun · 01h30Houston
DR Congo
#60
VS
Uzbekistan
#48
37%26%37%
Pick:Uzbekistan
View →Wed 17 Jun · 22h00Houston
England
#4
VS
Croatia
#12
56%23%21%
Pick:England★
View →Thu 18 Jun · 01h00Las Vegas
Ghana
#58
VS
Panama
#37
37%26%37%
Pick:Panama
View →Tue 23 Jun · 22h00Kansas City
England
#4
VS
Ghana
#58
74%16%10%
Pick:England★
View →Wed 24 Jun · 01h00Atlanta
Panama
#37
VS
Croatia
#12
21%23%56%
Pick:Croatia★
View →Sat 27 Jun · 23h00Philadelphie
Panama
#37
VS
England
#4
10%16%74%
Pick:England★
View →Sat 27 Jun · 23h00San Francisco
Croatia
#12
VS
Ghana
#58
56%23%21%
Pick:Croatia★
View →Other competitions
Our World Cup 2026 prediction methodology
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is the first edition with 48 teams, hosted across the United States, Canada and Mexico from June 11 to July 19. Our Poisson model calibrates the offensive and defensive strength of each team from FIFA rankings and qualification data.
For each match, we calculate probabilities for home win, draw and away win, as well as goals markets (over/under 2.5, BTTS). Picks are published with a confidence level from 1 to 5 stars.