🏆 FIFA World Cup 2026 · USA · Canada · Mexico

World Cup 2026 Predictions

Poisson model analysis, compared odds and expert picks for all 48 matches of the group stage. June 11 – July 3, 2026.

🎯
48
Matches
📊
Poisson
Model
🌍
48
Nations
62%
WC win rate

Our published predictions

50

🌍 JordanArgentina

28 Jun

Away win@1.18

🌍 AlgeriaAustria

28 Jun

Away win@2.12

🌍 DR CongoUzbekistan

28 Jun

Home win@2.29

🌍 ColombiaPortugal

28 Jun

Away win@2.10

🌍 PanamaEngland

27 Jun

Away win@1.27

🌍 CroatiaGhana

27 Jun

Home win@1.63

🌍 EgyptIran

27 Jun

Home win@2.21

🌍 New ZealandBelgium

27 Jun

Away win@1.27

🌍 UruguaySpain

27 Jun

Away win@1.61

🌍 Cape VerdeSaudi Arabia

27 Jun

Home win@2.54

🌍 SenegalIraq

26 Jun

Home win@1.41

🌍 NorwayFrance

26 Jun

Away win@1.80

🌍 TurkeyUSA

26 Jun

Away win@2.52

🌍 ParaguayAustralia

26 Jun

Home win@2.14

🌍 TunisiaNetherlands

26 Jun

Away win@1.49

🌍 JapanSweden

26 Jun

Home win@2.06

🌍 EcuadorGermany

25 Jun

Away win@1.70

🌍 CuracaoIvory Coast

25 Jun

Away win@1.21

🌍 South AfricaSouth Korea

25 Jun

Away win@1.93

🌍 République TchèqueMexico

25 Jun

Away win@1.79

🌍 MoroccoHaiti

25 Jun

Home win@1.31

🌍 ScotlandBrazil

25 Jun

Away win@1.44

🌍 SwitzerlandCanada

24 Jun

Home win@2.11

🌍 BosniaQatar

24 Jun

Home win@1.59

🌍 ColombiaDR Congo

24 Jun

Home win@1.46

🌍 PanamaCroatia

24 Jun

Away win@1.54

🌍 EnglandGhana

23 Jun

Home win@1.31

🌍 PortugalUzbekistan

23 Jun

Home win@1.23

🌍 JordanAlgeria

23 Jun

Away win@1.51

🌍 NorwaySenegal

23 Jun

Home win@2.12

🌍 FranceIraq

22 Jun

Home win@1.11

🌍 ArgentinaAustria

22 Jun

Home win@1.64

🌍 New ZealandEgypt

22 Jun

Away win@1.73

🌍 UruguayCape Verde

22 Jun

Home win@1.43

🌍 BelgiumIran

21 Jun

Home win@1.40

🌍 SpainSaudi Arabia

21 Jun

Home win@1.10

🌍 TunisiaJapan

21 Jun

Away win@1.70

🌍 EcuadorCuracao

21 Jun

Home win@1.19

🌍 GermanyIvory Coast

20 Jun

Home win@1.54

🌍 NetherlandsSweden

20 Jun

Home win@1.63

🌍 TurkeyParaguay

20 Jun

Home win@2.21

🌍 BrazilHaiti

20 Jun

Home win@1.07

🌍 ScotlandMorocco

20 Jun

Away win@1.98

🌍 USAAustralia

19 Jun

Home win@1.75

🌍 MexicoSouth Korea

19 Jun

Home win@1.80

🌍 CanadaQatar

19 Jun

Home win@1.30

🌍 SwitzerlandBosnia

18 Jun

Home win@1.59

🌍 République TchèqueSouth Africa

18 Jun

Home win@1.96

🌍 UzbekistanColombia

18 Jun

Away win@1.38

🌍 GhanaPanama

18 Jun

Home win@2.13

All matches by group

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Our World Cup 2026 prediction methodology

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is the first edition with 48 teams, hosted across the United States, Canada and Mexico from June 11 to July 19. Our Poisson model calibrates the offensive and defensive strength of each team from FIFA rankings and qualification data.

For each match, we calculate probabilities for home win, draw and away win, as well as goals markets (over/under 2.5, BTTS). Picks are published with a confidence level from 1 to 5 stars.