Premier League Predictions

English Premier League predictions powered by Poisson model. Value bets and statistical analysis for every EPL match with bookmaker odds comparison.

50%

Win rate

40

Settled

Arsenal vs Burnley

18 May

Home win@1.06

Newcastle United vs West Ham United

17 May

Home win@1.97

Everton vs Sunderland

17 May

Home win@1.76

Brentford vs Crystal Palace

17 May

Home win@1.68

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Fulham

17 May

Away win@1.93

Leeds United vs Brighton and Hove Albion

17 May

Away win@2.30

Aston Villa vs Liverpool

17 May

Over 2.5@1.81

Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest

17 May

Home win@1.60

Burnley vs Aston Villa

10 May

Away win@1.60✗ Lost

Fulham vs Bournemouth

9 May

Over 2.5@1.88✗ Lost

Sunderland vs Manchester United

9 May

Over 2.5@2.00✗ Lost

Manchester City vs Crystal Palace

13 May

Home win@1.22✓ Won

Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United

11 May

Home win@1.77✗ Lost

Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United

10 May

Home win@2.61✗ Lost

West Ham United vs Arsenal

10 May

Away win@1.62✗ Lost

Manchester City vs Brentford

9 May

Home win@1.35✓ Won

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

9 May

Home win@1.34✓ Won

Liverpool vs Chelsea

9 May

Home win@1.82✗ Lost

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest

4 May

Home win@1.62✗ Lost

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur

3 May

Home win@1.88✗ Lost

Manchester United vs Liverpool

3 May

Home win@2.35✓ Won

Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace

3 May

Home win@1.67✓ Won

Newcastle United vs Brighton and Hove Albion

2 May

Home win@2.15✓ Won

Leeds United vs Burnley

1 May

Home win@1.44✓ Won

Manchester United vs Brentford

27 Apr

Home win@1.87✓ Won

Arsenal vs Fulham

2 May

Home win@1.35✓ Won

Brentford vs West Ham United

2 May

Home win@1.82✓ Won

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace

25 Apr

Under 2.5@2.29✗ Lost

Arsenal vs Newcastle United

25 Apr

Home win@1.52✓ Won

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Tottenham Hotspur

25 Apr

Away win@1.86✓ Won

Our methodology — Premier League Predictions

The Premier League is the world's most-watched championship. The level gap between clubs is tighter than in La Liga, making value bets on outsiders particularly interesting.

Our model integrates the intense fixture calendar (every 3-4 days) and squad fatigue effects.