Premier League Predictions

English Premier League predictions powered by Poisson model. Value bets and statistical analysis for every EPL match with bookmaker odds comparison.

50%

Win rate

50

Settled

Manchester City FC vs Aston Villa FC

24 May

Home winβœ— Lost

Crystal Palace FC vs Arsenal FC

24 May

Away winβœ“ Won

Arsenal vs Burnley

18 May

Home win@1.06βœ“ Won

Newcastle United vs West Ham United

17 May

Home win@1.97βœ“ Won

Everton vs Sunderland

17 May

Home win@1.76βœ— Lost

Brentford vs Crystal Palace

17 May

Home win@1.68βœ— Lost

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Fulham

17 May

Away win@1.93βœ— Lost

Leeds United vs Brighton and Hove Albion

17 May

Away win@2.30βœ— Lost

Aston Villa vs Liverpool

17 May

Over 2.5@1.81βœ“ Won

Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest

17 May

Home win@1.60βœ“ Won

Burnley vs Aston Villa

10 May

Away win@1.60βœ— Lost

Fulham vs Bournemouth

9 May

Over 2.5@1.88βœ— Lost

Sunderland vs Manchester United

9 May

Over 2.5@2.00βœ— Lost

Manchester City vs Crystal Palace

13 May

Home win@1.22βœ“ Won

Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United

11 May

Home win@1.77βœ— Lost

Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United

10 May

Home win@2.61βœ— Lost

West Ham United vs Arsenal

10 May

Away win@1.62βœ— Lost

Manchester City vs Brentford

9 May

Home win@1.35βœ“ Won

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

9 May

Home win@1.34βœ“ Won

Liverpool vs Chelsea

9 May

Home win@1.82βœ— Lost

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest

4 May

Home win@1.62βœ— Lost

Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur

3 May

Home win@1.88βœ— Lost

Manchester United vs Liverpool

3 May

Home win@2.35βœ“ Won

Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace

3 May

Home win@1.67βœ“ Won

Newcastle United vs Brighton and Hove Albion

2 May

Home win@2.15βœ“ Won

Leeds United vs Burnley

1 May

Home win@1.44βœ“ Won

Manchester United vs Brentford

27 Apr

Home win@1.87βœ“ Won

Arsenal vs Fulham

2 May

Home win@1.35βœ“ Won

Brentford vs West Ham United

2 May

Home win@1.82βœ“ Won

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace

25 Apr

Under 2.5@2.29βœ— Lost

Our methodology β€” Premier League Predictions

The Premier League is the world's most-watched championship. The level gap between clubs is tighter than in La Liga, making value bets on outsiders particularly interesting.

Our model integrates the intense fixture calendar (every 3-4 days) and squad fatigue effects.