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Ligue 1

10 May, 21:00

Prediction Angers — StrasbourgSunday, 10 May 2026 at 21:00

Name: Away Win Prediction — Angers vs Strasbourg
Rating: 3
Author: Footexo

Angers

Home

13th in table

Pending

Strasbourg

Away

8th in table

Our Prediction

✈️

Away Win

match result

Odds

2.20

best odds

Moderate

Comparative Statistics

13th

Ranking

8th

0.8g/m

Avg attack

1.6g/m

1.4ag/m

Avg defence

1.3ag/m

Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)

Angers

29%

Draw

28%

Strasbourg

43%

Over 2.5 goals

1.97

51% implied

Under 2.5 goals

1.87

53% implied

∑Poisson Model

Angers

1.17

expected goals (λ)

Expected total

2.86

goals/match

Strasbourg

1.69

expected goals (λ)

Probability comparison

Angers

Poisson

26%

Bookmaker

29%

Draw-4% unfavourable

Poisson

24%

Bookmaker

28%

Strasbourg+6% edge

Poisson

49%

Bookmaker

43%

Most probable scores

1–1

11.3%

0–1

9.7%

1–2

9.6%

0–2

8.2%

1–0

6.7%

2–1

6.6%

Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.

Expert Analysis

Strasbourg’s stronger offensive stats and better league position suggest clear superiority over Angers, who struggle to score and concede frequently. The Poisson model gives Strasbourg a near 50% win probability, higher than the 43% implied by bookmakers, highlighting a market undervaluation. I back Strasbourg to win at 2.2 due to their attacking edge and Angers’ defensive frailty, with the main risk being an unlikely defensive masterclass from Angers.

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Away Win

@ 2.20

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