9 May, 15:30
Prediction Augsburg — Borussia MonchengladbachSaturday, 9 May 2026 at 15:30

Augsburg
Home
9th in table
3 — 1
✓ WonBM
Borussia Monchengladbach
Away
Our Prediction
🏠
Home Win
match result
Odds
2.31
best odds
High
Comparative Statistics
9th
Ranking
—
1.3g/m
Avg attack
—g/m
1.8ag/m
Avg defence
—ag/m
Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)
Augsburg
45%
Draw
26%
Borussia Monchengladbach
29%
Over 2.5 goals
1.99
50% implied
Under 2.5 goals
1.89
53% implied
Expert Analysis
The market fairly prices the match but underestimates Augsburg's home strength and Gladbach's conversion issues. Gladbach’s 32% win probability seems optimistic given their defensive fragility away. The under 2.5 goals is preferable given both teams’ scoring rates. I back Augsburg’s home win at 2.31 due to their better defensive profile and home advantage, with a moderate risk of Gladbach’s offensive rebound.
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Match information
CompetitionBundesliga
Date9 May, 15:30
Analysis published2 May 2026
Odds sourcethe-odds-api
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