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Bundesliga

25 Apr, 15:30

Prediction Augsburg — Eintracht FrankfurtSaturday, 25 April 2026 at 15:30

Name: Away Win Prediction — Augsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Rating: 3
Author: Footexo

Augsburg

Home

9th in table

1 — 1

✗ Lost

Eintracht Frankfurt

Away

8th in table

Our Prediction

✈️

Away Win

match result

Odds

2.60

best odds

Moderate

Comparative Statistics

9th

Ranking

8th

1.3g/m

Avg attack

1.8g/m

1.8ag/m

Avg defence

1.9ag/m

Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)

Augsburg

39%

Draw

25%

Eintracht Frankfurt

36%

Over 2.5 goals

1.52

66% implied

Under 2.5 goals

2.42

41% implied

∑Poisson Model

🎯 VALUE BET +7.4%

Augsburg

1.71

expected goals (λ)

Expected total

3.75

goals/match

Eintracht Frankfurt

2.04

expected goals (λ)

Probability comparison

Augsburg-6% unfavourable

Poisson

33%

Bookmaker

39%

Draw-4% unfavourable

Poisson

21%

Bookmaker

25%

Eintracht Frankfurt+10% edge

Poisson

46%

Bookmaker

36%

Most probable scores

1–2

8.4%

1–1

8.2%

2–2

7.2%

2–1

7.0%

1–3

5.7%

0–2

4.9%

Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.

Expert Analysis

Augsburg and Eintracht Frankfurt are close in the table, but Frankfurt's stronger attack and similar defensive record give them the edge. The Poisson model shows a 45.9% chance for Frankfurt to win versus bookmakers' 38.5%, indicating clear value. I back Frankfurt to win at 2.60 due to their offensive superiority and Augsburg’s defensive vulnerabilities, with risk being an unusually strong defensive display from Augsburg.

Other predictions for this match

⚽

Over 2.5 Goals

@ 1.52

Very high

✗

Responsible gambling — Predictions are provided for informational purposes only. Sports betting carries risk. Gamble responsibly and within your means. Not for under-18s.

Bet on this prediction

Away Win

@ 2.60

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