Premier League18 Apr, 11:30
Prediction Brentford — FulhamSaturday, 18 April 2026 at 11:30
Brentford
Home
10th in table
VS
Pending
Fulham
Away
11th in table
Our Prediction
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
over under
Odds
1.83
best odds
Very high
Comparative Statistics
DLWWW
Form (5)
LWLLW
10th
Ranking
11th
1.7g/m
Avg attack
1.4g/m
1.5ag/m
Avg defence
1.4ag/m
Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)
Brentford
46%
Draw
25%
Fulham
28%
Over 2.5 goals
1.81
55% implied
Under 2.5 goals
2.17
46% implied
∑Poisson Model
🎯 VALUE BET +19.8%Brentford
2.11
expected goals (λ)
Expected total
3.89
goals/match
Fulham
1.79
expected goals (λ)
Probability comparison
Brentford
Poisson
46%
Bookmaker
46%
Draw-4% unfavourable
Poisson
21%
Bookmaker
25%
Fulham+5% edge
Poisson
33%
Bookmaker
28%
Most probable scores
2–1
8.1%
1–1
7.7%
2–2
7.2%
1–2
6.8%
3–1
5.7%
3–2
5.1%
Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.
Expert Analysis
The match between Brentford and Fulham is expected to be high-scoring with a 74.4% probability for over 2.5 goals, significantly higher than the bookmakers' implied probability. This value bet offers a strong opportunity for bettors.
Other predictions for this match
Responsible gambling — Predictions are provided for informational purposes only. Sports betting carries risk. Gamble responsibly and within your means. Not for under-18s.
Match information
CompetitionPremier League
Date18 Apr, 11:30
Analysis published13 Apr 2026
Odds sourcethe-odds-api
Share this prediction