Premier LeaguePrediction Brentford — West Ham UnitedSaturday, 2 May 2026 at 14:00
Brentford
Home
9th in table
VS
West Ham United
Away
17th in table
Our Prediction
Home Win
match result
Odds
1.82
best odds
Comparative Statistics
Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)
Over 2.5 goals
1.72
58% implied
Under 2.5 goals
2.31
43% implied
∑Poisson Model
Brentford
2.06
expected goals (λ)
Expected total
3.18
goals/match
West Ham United
1.12
expected goals (λ)
Probability comparison
Most probable scores
2–1
9.9%
1–1
9.6%
2–0
8.9%
1–0
8.6%
3–1
6.8%
3–0
6.1%
Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.
Expert Analysis
Brentford’s recent stability and West Ham’s defensive fragility create an advantage for the home side, supported by Brentford’s consistent attack at home. The Poisson model gives Brentford a 59.1% win probability, higher than the implied 49% from odds, indicating value. I back Brentford to win at 1.82 due to their balanced profile and home advantage, with a risk of a defensive West Ham leading to a draw.
Match information
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