Home/Predictions/LaLiga/Celta Vigo vs Levante

LaLiga

12 May, 17:00

Prediction Celta Vigo — LevanteTuesday, 12 May 2026 at 17:00

Name: Home Win Prediction — Celta Vigo vs Levante
Rating: 4
Author: Footexo

Celta Vigo

Home

6th in table

Pending

Levante

Away

19th in table

Our Prediction

🏠

Home Win

match result

Odds

1.72

best odds

High

Comparative Statistics

6th

Ranking

19th

1.4g/m

Avg attack

1.1g/m

1.3ag/m

Avg defence

1.6ag/m

Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)

Celta Vigo

55%

Draw

24%

Levante

21%

Over 2.5 goals

2.01

50% implied

Under 2.5 goals

1.84

54% implied

∑Poisson Model

Celta Vigo

2.00

expected goals (λ)

Expected total

3.08

goals/match

Levante

1.08

expected goals (λ)

Probability comparison

Celta Vigo+4% edge

Poisson

59%

Bookmaker

55%

Draw

Poisson

21%

Bookmaker

24%

Levante

Poisson

20%

Bookmaker

21%

Most probable scores

2–1

9.9%

1–1

9.9%

2–0

9.2%

1–0

9.2%

3–1

6.6%

3–0

6.1%

Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.

Expert Analysis

Celta Vigo's odds at 1.72 seem slightly undervalued given their stronger defense and attack compared to Levante, who are struggling near relegation. The Poisson model estimates a 58.6% chance of a home win, higher than the implied 55%, reinforcing this advantage. I back Celta Vigo to win at 1.72 due to their tactical and statistical superiority, with the main risk being Levante's defensive resilience. Stake: 3 units.

Responsible gambling — Predictions are provided for informational purposes only. Sports betting carries risk. Gamble responsibly and within your means. Not for under-18s.

Bet on this prediction

Home Win

@ 1.72

Bet on Betclic →

100€ for new members