Prediction Crystal Palace FC — Arsenal FCSunday, 24 May 2026 at 17:00

Crystal Palace FC
Home
15th in table
VS

Arsenal FC
Away
1st in table
Our Prediction
Away Win
match result
Comparative Statistics
∑Poisson Model
Crystal Palace FC
0.91
expected goals (λ)
Expected total
2.68
goals/match
Arsenal FC
1.77
expected goals (λ)
Most probable scores
0–1
12.1%
1–1
11.0%
0–2
10.7%
1–2
9.8%
0–0
6.8%
0–3
6.3%
Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.
Expert Analysis
Crystal Palace FC, one of the bottom teams in Premier League, faces Arsenal FC, the current league leader. Despite scoring an average of 1.9 goals per match, Arsenal FC has suffered some recent defeats and has conceded 0.7 goals per match on average. Our Poisson model calculates a 57.7% chance of victory for Arsenal FC, but our analysis suggests that Crystal Palace FC has a real chance to win, as the 0-1 score is the most probable, with a 12.1% probability. We back a win for Arsenal FC. Main risk : a win for Crystal Palace FC. Bet : 3 units.
Match information
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