Premier League20 Apr, 19:00
Prediction Crystal Palace — West Ham UnitedMonday, 20 April 2026 at 19:00
Crystal Palace
Home
VS
Pending
West Ham United
Away
Our Prediction
🏠
Home Win
match result
Odds
2.20
best odds
Moderate
Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)
Crystal Palace
40%
Draw
29%
West Ham United
31%
Over 2.5 goals
1.77
56% implied
Under 2.5 goals
1.79
56% implied
∑Poisson Model
Crystal Palace
1.52
expected goals (λ)
Expected total
2.68
goals/match
West Ham United
1.15
expected goals (λ)
Probability comparison
Crystal Palace+6% edge
Poisson
46%
Bookmaker
40%
Draw-4% unfavourable
Poisson
25%
Bookmaker
29%
West Ham United
Poisson
29%
Bookmaker
31%
Most probable scores
1–1
12.1%
1–0
10.5%
2–1
9.2%
2–0
8.0%
0–1
7.9%
1–2
7.0%
Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.
Expert Analysis
Crystal Palace has a slight edge with a 45.8% win probability from the Poisson model, higher than bookmakers' 42%. The model suggests a value bet on Crystal Palace to win given their better recent form and offensive stats.
Other predictions for this match
Responsible gambling — Predictions are provided for informational purposes only. Sports betting carries risk. Gamble responsibly and within your means. Not for under-18s.
Match information
CompetitionPremier League
Date20 Apr, 19:00
Analysis published13 Apr 2026
Odds sourcethe-odds-api
Share this prediction