Premier LeaguePrediction Crystal Palace — West Ham UnitedMonday, 20 April 2026 at 21:00
Crystal Palace
Home
13th in table
0 — 0
✗ Lost
West Ham United
Away
17th in table
Our Prediction
Home Win
match result
Odds
2.35
best odds
Comparative Statistics
Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)
Over 2.5 goals
1.73
58% implied
Under 2.5 goals
1.83
55% implied
∑Poisson Model
🎯 VALUE BET +11.5%Crystal Palace
1.71
expected goals (λ)
Expected total
2.72
goals/match
West Ham United
1.00
expected goals (λ)
Probability comparison
Most probable scores
1–1
11.4%
1–0
11.3%
2–1
9.7%
2–0
9.7%
0–1
6.6%
0–0
6.6%
Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.
Expert Analysis
Crystal Palace's stronger attack and more stable defense give them a clear edge over West Ham, who are vulnerable at the back. The Poisson model assigns a 54.0% win probability to Palace, significantly higher than the bookmakers' 42.6%, indicating value. I back Crystal Palace to win at 2.35, confident in their ability to exploit West Ham's defensive weaknesses, with the main risk being a highly defensive West Ham setup.
Match information
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