Bundesliga18 Apr, 16:30
Prediction Eintracht Frankfurt — RB LeipzigSaturday, 18 April 2026 at 16:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Home
VS
Pending
RB Leipzig
Away
Our Prediction
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
over under
Odds
1.93
best odds
High
Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)
Eintracht Frankfurt
27%
Draw
23%
RB Leipzig
50%
Over 2.5 goals
2.05
49% implied
Under 2.5 goals
1.86
54% implied
∑Poisson Model
🎯 VALUE BET +14.2%Eintracht Frankfurt
2.50
expected goals (λ)
Expected total
3.42
goals/match
RB Leipzig
0.92
expected goals (λ)
Probability comparison
Eintracht Frankfurt+44% edge
Poisson
71%
Bookmaker
27%
Draw-7% unfavourable
Poisson
16%
Bookmaker
23%
RB Leipzig-38% unfavourable
Poisson
12%
Bookmaker
50%
Most probable scores
2–0
10.2%
2–1
9.4%
3–0
8.5%
1–0
8.2%
3–1
7.8%
1–1
7.5%
Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.
Expert Analysis
The Poisson model predicts a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals, higher than bookmaker odds imply, reflecting the offensive strengths of both teams. Betting on over 2.5 goals is a valuable and confident choice.
Other predictions for this match
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Match information
CompetitionBundesliga
Date18 Apr, 16:30
Analysis published13 Apr 2026
Odds sourcethe-odds-api
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