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27 Apr, 19:00

Prediction Espanyol — LevanteMonday, 27 April 2026 at 19:00

Name: Home Win Prediction — Espanyol vs Levante
Rating: 3
Author: Footexo

Espanyol

Home

13th in table

Pending

Levante

Away

19th in table

Our Prediction

🏠

Home Win

match result

Odds

1.86

best odds

Moderate

Comparative Statistics

13th

Ranking

19th

1.2g/m

Avg attack

1.2g/m

1.5ag/m

Avg defence

1.6ag/m

Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)

Espanyol

50%

Draw

27%

Levante

24%

Over 2.5 goals

1.93

52% implied

Under 2.5 goals

2.01

50% implied

∑Poisson Model

Espanyol

1.74

expected goals (λ)

Expected total

3.04

goals/match

Levante

1.31

expected goals (λ)

Probability comparison

Espanyol

Poisson

48%

Bookmaker

50%

Draw

Poisson

24%

Bookmaker

27%

Levante+5% edge

Poisson

29%

Bookmaker

24%

Most probable scores

1–1

10.8%

2–1

9.4%

1–0

8.3%

2–0

7.2%

1–2

7.1%

0–1

6.2%

Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.

Expert Analysis

Espanyol’s home form and Levante’s defensive struggles set the tone for a home win despite similar scoring rates. The Poisson model supports this with a 47.5% win probability for Espanyol and spots an underpriced over 2.5 goals bet at 58.5% probability. The verdict favors an Espanyol victory at decent odds with a clear tactical edge and home advantage.

Responsible gambling — Predictions are provided for informational purposes only. Sports betting carries risk. Gamble responsibly and within your means. Not for under-18s.

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Home Win

@ 1.86

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