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Ligue 1

2 May, 21:05

Prediction Nice — RC LensSaturday, 2 May 2026 at 21:05

Name: Away Win Prediction — Nice vs RC Lens
Rating: 4
Author: Footexo

Nice

Home

15th in table

1 — 1

✗ Lost

RC Lens

Away

2nd in table

Our Prediction

✈️

Away Win

match result

Odds

1.76

best odds

High

Comparative Statistics

15th

Ranking

2nd

1.1g/m

Avg attack

2.0g/m

1.9ag/m

Avg defence

1.1ag/m

Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)

Nice

20%

Draw

23%

RC Lens

57%

Over 2.5 goals

1.98

51% implied

Under 2.5 goals

1.93

52% implied

∑Poisson Model

🎯 VALUE BET +10.7%

Nice

1.21

expected goals (λ)

Expected total

3.87

goals/match

RC Lens

2.66

expected goals (λ)

Probability comparison

Nice-5% unfavourable

Poisson

15%

Bookmaker

20%

Draw-6% unfavourable

Poisson

17%

Bookmaker

23%

RC Lens+11% edge

Poisson

68%

Bookmaker

57%

Most probable scores

1–2

8.9%

1–3

7.9%

0–2

7.4%

1–1

6.7%

0–3

6.5%

0–1

5.5%

Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.

Expert Analysis

Lens faces crucial pressure to maintain its top spot while Nice battles relegation with a weak defense and attack. The model assigns Lens a 67.5% win chance versus bookmakers’ 56.8%, and over 2.5 goals probability stands at 73.6% with a strong market edge. I back Lens to win at 1.76 due to their superior offense and defense, with risk being a highly defensive Nice limiting goals.

Responsible gambling — Predictions are provided for informational purposes only. Sports betting carries risk. Gamble responsibly and within your means. Not for under-18s.

Bet on this prediction

Away Win

@ 1.76

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