Serie A23 May, 20:45
Prediction SS Lazio — AC Pisa 1909Saturday, 23 May 2026 at 20:45
SS Lazio
Home
9th in table
VS
Pending
AC Pisa 1909
Away
20th in table
Our Prediction
🏠
Home Win
match result
Very high
Comparative Statistics
9th
Ranking
20th
1.1g/m
Avg attack
0.7g/m
1.1ag/m
Avg defence
1.9ag/m
∑Poisson Model
SS Lazio
2.01
expected goals (λ)
Expected total
2.59
goals/match
AC Pisa 1909
0.58
expected goals (λ)
Most probable scores
2–0
15.2%
1–0
15.1%
3–0
10.2%
2–1
8.8%
1–1
8.7%
0–0
7.5%
Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.
Expert Analysis
The key tactical edge lies with SS Lazio, whose attack has consistently outperformed AC Pisa 1909's defence. Our model signal indicates a 71.2% probability of a SS Lazio win, presenting a compelling value bet given the significant disparity in defensive prowess. We back SS Lazio to emerge victorious, with the main risk being a draw, and consider this a high-confidence bet.
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Match information
CompetitionSerie A
Date23 May, 20:45
Analysis published23 May 2026
Odds sourcefootball-data.org
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