Home/Predictions/Serie A/SSC Napoli vs Udinese Calcio

Serie A

24 May, 18:00

Prediction SSC Napoli — Udinese CalcioSunday, 24 May 2026 at 18:00

Name: Home Win Prediction — SSC Napoli vs Udinese Calcio
Rating: 4
Author: Footexo

SSC Napoli

Home

2nd in table

Pending

Udinese Calcio

Away

10th in table

Our Prediction

🏠

Home Win

match result

High

Comparative Statistics

2nd

Ranking

10th

1.5g/m

Avg attack

1.2g/m

1.0ag/m

Avg defence

1.3ag/m

∑Poisson Model

SSC Napoli

1.96

expected goals (λ)

Expected total

2.92

goals/match

Udinese Calcio

0.95

expected goals (λ)

Most probable scores

1–0

10.6%

2–0

10.4%

1–1

10.1%

2–1

9.9%

3–0

6.8%

3–1

6.5%

Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.

Expert Analysis

The key context here is that SSC Napoli's recent form, with an average of 1.5 goals scored per match, gives them a significant structural edge over Udinese Calcio. The quantitative signal from the Poisson model suggests a 60.9% probability of a SSC Napoli win, which represents a substantial edge over the implied book probability, making it a valuable bet. We back SSC Napoli to win, but acknowledge the specific risk that Udinese Calcio's quick counter-attacks could catch the Napoli defence off guard.

Responsible gambling — Predictions are provided for informational purposes only. Sports betting carries risk. Gamble responsibly and within your means. Not for under-18s.

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