Home/Predictions/Serie A/Torino FC vs Juventus FC
Serie ASerie A
24 May, 20:45

Prediction Torino FCJuventus FCSunday, 24 May 2026 at 20:45

Logo Torino FC

Torino FC

Home

12th in table

22

✗ Lost
Logo Juventus FC

Juventus FC

Away

6th in table

Our Prediction

🏆

Juventus FC Win

match result

High

Comparative Statistics

12th
Ranking
6th
1.1g/m
Avg attack
1.6g/m
1.6ag/m
Avg defence
0.9ag/m

Poisson Model

Torino FC

1.17

expected goals (λ)

Expected total

3.33

goals/match

Juventus FC

2.16

expected goals (λ)

Most probable scores

12

9.8%

11

9.1%

02

8.3%

01

7.7%

13

7.0%

03

6.0%

Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.

Expert Analysis

This match has significance because it's the last round of the season, and the points won by both teams will directly impact their final league position. Torino FC are in 12th place, while Juventus FC are in 6th place. A Juventus FC win could see them move up the table and qualify for the Champions League, while a Torino FC loss could condemn them to a lower finish. Recent form data suggests Torino FC are struggling, having lost their last three games, whereas Juventus FC are in good form, having won their last three. The latter's attack is also more potent, averaging 1.6 goals per game. The Poisson model gives a 59.7% chance of a Juventus FC win. However, bookmakers' odds imply a 51.2% chance. That's an 8.5-point edge. We predict 2. We back Juventus FC because they have the more potent attack and are in form. Their win could see them move up the table and qualify for the Champions League. The main risk is that Torino FC are motivated to avoid relegation and score a late goal for a draw or unexpected win.

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Juventus FC Win

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Match information

CompetitionSerie A
Date24 May, 20:45
Analysis published23 May 2026
Odds sourcefootball-data.org

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