Serie A18 Apr, 13:00
Prediction Udinese — ParmaSaturday, 18 April 2026 at 13:00
Udinese
Home
12th in table
VS
Pending
Parma
Away
16th in table
Our Prediction
🏠
Home Win
match result
Odds
2.25
best odds
Moderate
Comparative Statistics
LLLWD
Form (5)
WDLLD
12th
Ranking
16th
1.1g/m
Avg attack
1.2g/m
1.5ag/m
Avg defence
1.5ag/m
Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)
Udinese
44%
Draw
32%
Parma
24%
Over 2.5 goals
1.80
56% implied
Under 2.5 goals
2.13
47% implied
∑Poisson Model
Udinese
1.50
expected goals (λ)
Expected total
2.61
goals/match
Parma
1.11
expected goals (λ)
Probability comparison
Udinese
Poisson
46%
Bookmaker
44%
Draw-6% unfavourable
Poisson
26%
Bookmaker
32%
Parma+4% edge
Poisson
28%
Bookmaker
24%
Most probable scores
1–1
12.2%
1–0
11.1%
2–1
9.2%
2–0
8.3%
0–1
8.2%
0–0
7.4%
Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.
Expert Analysis
Udinese is the most probable winner with a 46.3% chance, reflecting their home advantage and slightly better attack. However, the odds do not offer significant value, making this a moderate confidence bet for cautious bettors.
Responsible gambling — Predictions are provided for informational purposes only. Sports betting carries risk. Gamble responsibly and within your means. Not for under-18s.
Match information
CompetitionSerie A
Date18 Apr, 13:00
Analysis published13 Apr 2026
Odds sourcethe-odds-api
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