Premier LeaguePrediction Wolverhampton Wanderers — Tottenham HotspurSaturday, 25 April 2026 at 16:00
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Home
20th in table
0 — 1
✓ Won
Tottenham Hotspur
Away
18th in table
Our Prediction
Away Win
match result
Odds
1.86
best odds
Comparative Statistics
Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)
Over 2.5 goals
1.70
59% implied
Under 2.5 goals
2.00
50% implied
∑Poisson Model
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1.10
expected goals (λ)
Expected total
2.81
goals/match
Tottenham Hotspur
1.71
expected goals (λ)
Probability comparison
Most probable scores
1–1
11.3%
0–1
10.3%
1–2
9.7%
0–2
8.8%
1–0
6.6%
2–1
6.2%
Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.
Expert Analysis
Tottenham's stronger attack and Wolverhampton's defensive weaknesses favor Spurs despite both teams fighting relegation. The Poisson model signals a 51.5% chance for Tottenham's win, slightly undervalued by bookmakers, indicating value. I back Tottenham to win at 1.86, banking on their offensive edge and Wolverhampton's fragility, with risk being a highly organized Wolverhampton defense.
Match information
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