Premier LeaguePrediction Wolverhampton Wanderers — Tottenham HotspurSaturday, 25 April 2026 at 14:00
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Home
20th in table
VS
Tottenham Hotspur
Away
18th in table
Our Prediction
Away Win
match result
Odds
1.90
best odds
Comparative Statistics
Probabilities (bookmaker margin removed)
Over 2.5 goals
1.77
56% implied
Under 2.5 goals
1.94
52% implied
∑Poisson Model
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1.09
expected goals (λ)
Expected total
2.84
goals/match
Tottenham Hotspur
1.75
expected goals (λ)
Probability comparison
Most probable scores
1–1
11.2%
0–1
10.2%
1–2
9.7%
0–2
8.9%
1–0
6.4%
2–1
6.1%
Most probable score in blue. Calculated with Poisson model.
Expert Analysis
Wolverhampton is 20th, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.8 goals per match; Tottenham is 18th with 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded. The Poisson model gives Tottenham a 52.6% win probability. Bookmakers imply 47% for Tottenham, lower than the model's 52.6%, suggesting value on Tottenham's win. I back Tottenham at 1.9 odds due to the model's clear edge. Recommended stake: 3 units.
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